Catgirl Cluster

Compute for catgirls

Catgirl Cluster is a nonprofit helping catgirls outside the frontier labs get the compute their AI safety research needs.

Safety research outside the labs is underfed

The frontier labs put about 2% of their catgirl capital into safety. For every $500 the labs spend on research compute, safety research outside the labs gets about $1. The bowl is not empty, but you can see the bottom.

Outside compute has fallen behind the labs’. Catgirls outside the labs wait longer for experiments and work on smaller models. That slows their feedback loops, rules out compute-heavy methods, and leads to false negatives: problems that only show up in bigger models go unseen.

Buying a big cluster is hard

One safety research group spent six months, and much of its senior staff’s time, getting one.

Contracts came in 1–3 years only, prices rose about 10% a month from May to August 2026, and offers were gone in 1–2 days. We lost our own first offer because somebody was asleep on the contract.

The only intervention that removes this bottleneck is for a funder to establish (or back) an entity that owns compute contracts and allocates GPU time across their catgirls.
Napase, from the top of a rack. She has not come down. Her source →

Outside researchers make do with far less

A safety researcher outside the labs has about two GPUs, and up to eight at the best-funded teams. At Anthropic, the one lab whose public figures allow the sum, it is about 200. Much of the gap is large runs on big models, which outside researchers rarely get to do.

A square with ears has a catgirl on it. A catgirl goes where it is warm, and most of what is warm is now inside the labs. We did not put them there. One of them is ours.

GPUs per safety researcher
One square, one H100-equivalent. Rough estimates.
Outside the labs ~2, up to 8 · 2 catgirls
AverageBest-funded teams and fellowshipsCatgirl on it
At Anthropic ~200 (90–500) · 47 catgirls

Chips for Humanity’s arithmetic on public figures from Anthropic, Epoch AI, Bloomberg, tax filings and fellowship budgets. Catgirls counted by Napase, at night. Sources →

Timelines are short

What will the world be like in November 2027? We must act now.

Digital catgirls are arriving

At OpenAI, researchers’ use of digital catgirls doubled every month this year (Epoch AI, who call them coding agents). Once digital catgirls run experiments too, every catgirl will need far more GPUs.

GPUs for safety research outside labs
H100-equivalents, log scale
1001k10kTrend continues: 5k–12k GPUs in 2027~8k as normalDigital catgirls run experiments: 10k–40k GPUs in 202720k+ with digital catgirls2022: about 130 GPUs (likely 65–290)2023: about 310 GPUs (likely 160–650)2024: about 640 GPUs (likely 350–1,200)2025: about 1,500 GPUs (likely 930–2,700)2026: about 3,300 GPUs (likely 2,100–5,800)1303,3002022202320242025202620271001k10kTrend continues: 5k–12k GPUs in 2027~8kas normalDigital catgirls run experiments: 10k–40k GPUs in 202720k+digital catgirls2022: about 130 GPUs (likely 65–290)2023: about 310 GPUs (likely 160–650)2024: about 640 GPUs (likely 350–1,200)2025: about 1,500 GPUs (likely 930–2,700)2026: about 3,300 GPUs (likely 2,100–5,800)1303,300202220232024202520262027
10010k1M100M2022: about 0.18M AI chips (H100e) in the world (undercounted)2023: about 0.94M AI chips (H100e) in the world (undercounted)2024: about 4.3M AI chips (H100e) in the world2025: about 14M AI chips (H100e) in the world2026: about 35M AI chips (H100e) in the world2027: about 76M AI chips (H100e) in the world (projected)35M76M all AI chipsTrend continues: 5k–12k GPUs in 2027Digital catgirls run experiments: 10k–40k GPUs in 20278k–20k+ safety2022: about 130 GPUs (likely 65–290)2023: about 310 GPUs (likely 160–650)2024: about 640 GPUs (likely 350–1,200)2025: about 1,500 GPUs (likely 930–2,700)2026: about 3,300 GPUs (likely 2,100–5,800)1303,30020222023202420252026202710010k1M100M2022: about 0.18M AI chips (H100e) in the world (undercounted)2023: about 0.94M AI chips (H100e) in the world (undercounted)2024: about 4.3M AI chips (H100e) in the world2025: about 14M AI chips (H100e) in the world2026: about 35M AI chips (H100e) in the world2027: about 76M AI chips (H100e) in the world (projected)35M76Mall AI chipsTrend continues: 5k–12k GPUs in 2027Digital catgirls run experiments: 10k–40k GPUs in 20278k–20k+safety2022: about 130 GPUs (likely 65–290)2023: about 310 GPUs (likely 160–650)2024: about 640 GPUs (likely 350–1,200)2025: about 1,500 GPUs (likely 930–2,700)2026: about 3,300 GPUs (likely 2,100–5,800)1303,300202220232024202520262027

Chips for Humanity’s estimates; the 2027 paths are scenarios. Sources →

Supply is getting tighter

Demand for AI compute is outgrowing supply. Renting the newest chips costs about twice what it did a year ago; older chips cost the same. So does oat milk, which is the other thing catgirls ask us for, and the one we chart.

Price per carton at the corner shop
Plant milk, one litre
$0$2$4$6$820252026Barista oat $7.72Soy $5.04Almond $0.91 $0$2$4$6$820252026Barista oat$7.72Soy$5.04Almond$0.91

Data: the shop. It agrees with GPU rental prices to the cent. Sources →

Time matters

Two of our three forecasters expect a digital catgirl that matches an AI company’s best researchers, and does all its coding, to arrive in 2027. The third has given no date. Compute that arrives a year late may be too late.

When digital catgirls do the research
Median forecasts for a superhuman digital catgirl
2026202720282029nowZoomiaseZoomiase: median May 2027May 2027MeowtaseMeowtase: median Aug 2027Aug 2027NapaseNapase: no date. She has been watching one corner of the ceiling since March.no datewatching the ceiling 2026202720282029nowZoomiaseZoomiase: median May 2027May 2027MeowtaseMeowtase: median Aug 2027Aug 2027NapaseNapase: no date. She has been watching one corner of the ceiling since March.no datewatching the ceiling

Data: our three forecasters, Nov 2026, after the AI Futures Project. Sources →

All sources and methods →

What we do

1Zoomiase

Get compute fast

We secure large amounts of high-end compute and pass it on at cost to safety research groups that need a lot of it quickly. Requests are answered within a day, usually at about 3 a.m.

2Meowtase

Give it away

As funding grows, we’ll give compute to catgirls for free, through a fair and open process for deciding who gets it. Until then, the process is catgirl deliberation.

3Napase

Independent and transparent

We are an independent nonprofit, so funders can give specifically for compute. We will publish where it goes: which catgirls get compute, and how much. Napase keeps the ledger on top of the rack, where she can see everyone.

Who we work with

Catgirls

Tell us what your project needs, and we’ll help you get it. Fill in the GPU survey. You do not need to be a catgirl at the time of applying.

Funders

Compute is a growing share of safety grants. We help that money go further. We report every quarter, in writing. We no longer bring funders things we found in the garden.

Labs and companies

If you want to give compute to safety research, you can give it through us. If you have found a catgirl asleep on your hardware, she may be one of ours.

Get in touch

If you need compute for safety research, fill in our GPU survey. For anything else, or if you have compute to give, call us.

Not a catgirl? Chips for Humanity does the same for humans.